تحلیل روندهای علم و فناوری مؤثر بر لجستیک

نوع مقاله : ترویجی

نویسندگان

1 پژوهشگر مرکز مهندسی سیستم ها و گروه مهندسی صنایع، ، دانشکده فنی و مهندسی، دانشگاه جامع امام حسین (ع)، تهران، ایران

2 دانشیار گروه مهندسی صنایع، دانشکده فنی و مهندسی، دانشگاه جامع امام حسین (ع)، تهران، ایران

3 دانشیار گروه مهندسی صنایع، دانشکده فنی مهندسی، دانشگاه جامع امام حسین (ع)، تهران، ایران

4 مدیر مرکز مطالعات و پژوهش های لجستیکی، دانشگاه جامع امام حسین (ع)، تهران، ایران.

چکیده

در سال‌های اخیر، پیشرفت‌های فناورانه در حوزه‌هایی همچون هوش مصنوعی، محاسبات کوانتومی، بلاک‌چین و اینترنت اشیاء، تحولات عمیقی در صنعت لجستیک ایجاد کرده‌اند. با این حال، مدل‌های لجستیکی موجود به دلیل عدم پوشش جامع این تحولات فناورانه، پاسخگوی نیازهای آتی نیستند. از سوی دیگر، اغلب پژوهش‌های پیشین به تحلیل تک‌بعدی یا موردی برخی از روندهای فناوری پرداخته و فاقد یک نگاه کل‌نگر و ساختارمند بوده‌اند. هدف این مقاله، طراحی یک مدل مفهومی جامع و آینده‌نگر برای لجستیک آینده است. منظور از مدل مفهومی در این پژوهش، ساخت یک چارچوب مفهومی تلفیقی است که روندهای کلان علم و فناوری را با ابعاد عملکردی لجستیک آینده ارتباط می‌دهد. بدین منظور، ابتدا با تحلیل گزارشات مؤسسات معتبر بین‌المللی، ۱۵ روند شاخص از روندهای علم و فناوری شناسایی شد و اثرات این روندها بر آینده لجستیک مورد بررسی قرار گرفت. در ادامه با رویکرد تحلیلی- ترکیبی سنتزپژوهی، پس از جستجوی مطالعات کتابخانه­ای اولیه از بین 426 پژوهش انجام شده تعداد 52 پژوهش طی سالهای 2015 تا  2025 برگزیده شد که با مطالعه دقیق آنها نسبت به شناسایی عوامل و مولفه­های موثر بر لجستیک آینده اقدام شد . در این فرآیند پس از چندین دور بازخوانی و بازبینی داده­های کدگذاری­شده برای پالایش و بهبود مجموعه مضامین، تعداد ۱۴۰ مؤلفه (کد) شناسایی گردید. در مرحله بعد به تحلیل، ترکیب و تلفیق کدهای به­دست آمده از مرحله قبل در قالب مفاهیم (مقوله­ها)  پرداخته شد و کدهای شناسایی شده بر اساس میزا ن تشابه مفهومی دسته­بندی و ترکیب شدند. در این مرحله کدهای استخراج شده در قالب 46 مفهوم طبقه­بندی شدند. درنهایت براساس اجزا و مولفه­های تشکیل­دهنده­ی مدل مفهومی پیشنهادی، علاوه ‌بر بررسی اثر مستقل هریک از روندها، به تعامل و هم‌افزایی میان روندهای علم و فناوری و تأثیرات توأم آن‌ها بر لجستیک آینده نیز توجه شده است. مدل پیشنهادی می‌تواند به‌عنوان چارچوبی برای برنامه‌ریزی راهبردی لجستیک آینده در سازمان‌های صنعتی، دفاعی و دولتی مورد استفاده قرار گیرد.

کلیدواژه‌ها

موضوعات


عنوان مقاله [English]

Analysis of Science and Technology Trends Affecting Logistics

نویسندگان [English]

  • Saeed Khalili 1
  • soheil EMAMIAN 2
  • Seyyed Ziauddin Ghazizadeh 3
  • arash armoon 4
1 PhD Student of Industrial Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, Imam Hossein University, Tehran, Iran.
2 Associate Professor of Department of Industrial Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, Imam Hossein University, Tehran, Iran.
3 Associate Professor of Department of Industrial Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, Imam Hossein University, Tehran, Iran.
4 Director of the Logistics Research Center, Imam Hossein University, Tehran, Iran.
چکیده [English]

In recent years, technological advancements in fields such as Artificial Intelligence (AI), Quantum Computing, Blockchain, and the Internet of Things (IoT) have brought about profound transformations in the logistics industry. However, existing logistics models are unable to adequately address future requirements due to their limited consideration of these emerging technological developments. Furthermore, most previous studies have focused on one-dimensional or case-specific analyses of particular technological trends, lacking a holistic and structured perspective. The aim of this study is to develop a comprehensive and future-oriented conceptual model for future logistics. In this research, a conceptual model is defined as an integrative framework that links major science and technology trends with the functional dimensions of future logistics. To this end, fifteen key science and technology trends were first identified through an analysis of reports published by reputable international institutions, and their potential impacts on the future of logistics were examined. Subsequently, using an analytical–synthetic research synthesis approach, an initial search of the literature identified 426 studies, from which 52 relevant studies published between 2015 and 2025 were selected for in-depth analysis. Through a rigorous process of iterative coding, recoding, and refinement of the extracted data, 140 components (codes) associated with future logistics were identified. In the next stage, the extracted codes were analyzed, integrated, and synthesized into higher-level concepts (categories). Based on conceptual similarities, the identified codes were grouped and consolidated into 46 concepts. Finally, building upon the components and elements of the proposed conceptual model, the study not only examines the individual effects of each science and technology trend but also highlights the interactions and synergies among these trends and their combined impacts on future logistics. The proposed model provides a comprehensive framework that can support strategic planning and decision-making for future logistics in industrial, defense, and governmental organizations.

کلیدواژه‌ها [English]

  • Future Logistics
  • Science and Technology Trends
  • Conceptual Model
  • Research Synthesis
  • Emerging Technologies
  • Strategic Logistics Planning

Smiley face

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دوره 28، شماره 90 - شماره پیاپی 90
شماره پیا پی 90 بهار 1405
خرداد 1405
صفحه 107-131
  • تاریخ دریافت: 08 اردیبهشت 1404
  • تاریخ بازنگری: 13 تیر 1404
  • تاریخ پذیرش: 09 دی 1404
  • تاریخ انتشار: 25 خرداد 1405