Identification and evaluation of crisis-causing risks in the field of sales in order to reduce risks in the food supply chain

Document Type : Research/ Original/ Regular Article

Authors

1 Assistant Professor, faculty of Engineering and Passive Defense, Malek Ashtar University of Technology,Tehran,Iran

2 crisis management of non-operating engineering and defense academic complex, Malik Ashtar University of Technology

Abstract

Food price fluctuations after the global food crisis in previous years have become an important and crisis-causing issue due to the threat to the supply chain such as agricultural resources, production, sellers, etc., especially for the livelihood of low-income households. Supply chain actors believe that price fluctuations have a destructive effect on decision-making or planning, production/supply, and their financial and economic affairs; Therefore, the purpose of this research is to identify and evaluate the most important factors that threaten the field of logistics; For this purpose, a fuzzy integrated approach including categorical analysis (MICMAC) and total interpretive structural modeling (TISM) has been used; According to the investigations carried out from previous researches and based on feedback from experts, 14 factors were initially identified and after applying Pareto analysis, 11 factors were selected for further analysis, which are the availability of the credit system (R3), flexibility to demand fluctuations (R4). accuracy in demand forecasting (R5), shorter product life cycle factors (R6), non-compliance with commitments (R10) and responsiveness (R2) are among the most important factors; It is expected that this research, in addition to strategic development to reduce the risks of food supply chain sales in the future, will help managers and policy makers to make appropriate decisions and thus achieve sustainable development goals.

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Articles in Press, Accepted Manuscript
Available Online from 16 April 2025
  • Receive Date: 05 October 2024
  • Revise Date: 18 November 2024
  • Accept Date: 16 April 2025
  • Publish Date: 16 April 2025